|
Preface There are many books out there proclaiming to ‘tell all’ or to ‘reveal the secrets’ to foreign exchange trading, and there are even more gurus offering advice and suggestions on how to trade the market successfully. But do any of these people have any real industry experience in trading foreign exchange? The answer is invariably NO. I worked on the front line for 18 years at some of the biggest investment banks in the world and made over $70 million. If you want to make money trading FX, then follow me! Unlike a lot of people out there who dreamed of dealing rooms and a trading career, I didn’t know anything about the foreign exchange market until after I graduated from Economics at University. Sure, I loved to punt, but the horses and sport were as far as it went. I never owned shares and never really had an interest in the stock market for that matter. I just so happened to be playing rugby with a few guys who were in the ‘game’. After a chat about what they did (which all went over my head), they convinced me that I had all the attributes to become a successful Forex trader: confident, good with numbers, a team player, a risk taker and an ability to handle pressure situations with ease. So I applied for a graduate trading position at Citibank. Two months, one hundred-sixty applicants and five interviews later, I had landed the job. This was a huge turning point in my life. I was a sponge for the first few years, learning all the rules, the ins and outs of the market, the terminology, and how to transact in the wholesale market. Within three years, I was making more money than the senior traders who had been around for years. By 1995 I had outgrown the Sydney trading desk and was promoted to senior dealer status and transferred to London. This was a great move, although it didn’t seem like it at first. The market is bigger and louder and the traders are far more aggressive. Being the only foreigner on a fiftyman trading team, I was quickly put in my place. I sat in the shadows of the top dogs for a good six months, quietly going about my business and observing their every move. I was looking for an opportunity to show my wares and it came out of the blue when one of the senior guys was off sick. I got the chance to quote the USD/YEN book for the day, which turned out to be a defining moment in my career. I was thirty minutes into the day when the Japanese Minister of Finance Eisuke Sakakibara (Mr. Yen) came out with some outrageous comments about the level of the Yen. I was caught long US dollars and the currency had dropped over 100 points in seconds. I was down well over 300K. There was a small group of senior traders laughing and I heard one of them say, ‘This will put him in his place.’ It was all the motivation I needed. It was now or never! After the dust had settled some eight hours later, I walked out of the dealing room to a standing ovation. I had turned my initial losses into a half a million pound profit. I had officially arrived in the big leagues. Over the next thirteen years I worked in New York, Tokyo, Singapore, Hong Kong and finally back in Sydney. I learnt to become resourceful, and my trading became more dynamic as I endeavoured to stay ahead of the pack and on top of the game. The one key factor that stands out for me is that all the traders I met and worked with incorporated the same basic trading methodology. Successful traders don’t use any secret strategies; they use the same simple strategies as everyone else. They are just quicker to modify and adapt them as the market conditions and driving forces change, keeping them ahead of the market. I realised there are three major components to successful trading. First, you have to understand the market, the participants in it and how it all works. In today’s market, 95% FX Insider of traders are speculators; hence it’s no surprise that 95% of traders new to the market lose their money. It’s the wholesale market, the remaining 5%, who control the entire market. If you don’t know how they trade, then you’re more than likely going to end up a part of these statistics. Second, it’s the traders themselves. Self-sabotage is one of the major reasons traders never realise their full potential. Patience, discipline and control of your emotional state are imperative if you want to be successful. Third, a trader needs a structured trading methodology, incorporating stringent capital management and a precise trade plan. Having a precise trade plan should remove the emotions of fear and greed and set you up for continued growth in the market. My twenty years of experience has taught me that knowing when to trade and when not to is integral to success. Staying out of the markets in illiquid volatile conditions, during inexplicable events and in particular when the currencies are in uncharted territory can lead to significant improvements in your overall performance. It’s a misnomer that traders in investment banks are trading all day long. I spend the majority of most days reading newspapers and otherwise occupying myself to avoid placing ‘bored trades’. Successful traders do fewer trades, not more. This book has been written with the clear intention of giving the retail trader a very real and practical guide to trading the Forex markets based on my own personal experiences, incorporating the skills and strategies used by commercial interbank traders and hedge funds. Believe me, running with the ‘big dogs’ is a lot more fun and a whole lot more rewarding than running against them. Understanding this is a key to your success. This book focuses on what you need to know to build your wealth and be a successful Forex trader. I have purposely left out all the bits and pieces you don’t need to know. This knowledge is not something I have read in other books or heard about on various blogs, but is real first-hand experience from my time trading in Sydney, London and New York for some of the biggest banks in the world. Once you have completed the book you should feel comfortable knowing that you are now a part of the market instead of a random speculator. You will see the market through a new set of eyes and be able to take advantage of the many opportunities the market throws up day after day, week after week. Good luck and happy trading. Introduction With the Global Financial Crisis (GFC) and the ensuing meltdown of global stocks, there has never been a better time to trade in the foreign exchange market. The Forex market is the largest and most liquid in the world, with an average daily turnover of four trillion USD. To put this into perspective, the New York Stock Exchange turns over twenty-five billion a day. That’s fifteen times less than the Forex market. Unlike the stock market traders, you don’t have to wait for a bell to ring. |